US and China inflation data and UK GDP figures due

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Howdy and welcome to the working week.

Presumably if you’re studying this, you aren’t caught in a visitors jam on the way in which to a vacation with the phrases “are we almost there but?” ringing in your ears. However it’s a query many people following the information agenda this week can be asking given the run of inflation and gross home product knowledge from the world’s two largest economies and uncertainty about when rates of interest will peak.

China will report July inflation figures on Wednesday, with the US following a day later. The excellent news is that inflation is falling all around the world, however the national picture varies greatly. China is at one excessive finish, flirting with deflation. The figures for the US on Thursday will give a sign about whether or not the Federal Reserve’s rate-tightening cycle is near ending.

Expectations usually are not excessive for the UK’s second-quarter GDP estimate on Friday. Whereas signalling that its battle towards inflation is being received, the Financial institution of England final week issued forecasts displaying that GDP would barely increase in 2024 and 2025.

The Reserve Financial institution of India’s bimonthly financial coverage assertion is out on Thursday, anticipated to announce one other “hawkish maintain” on charges.

We’re previous the midway level of the summer time earnings season, which has to date proven the US economic system proving pretty resilient to the Federal Reserve’s financial coverage tightening. And whereas issues usually are not fairly pretty much as good for a lot of corporations as they had been a 12 months in the past, they’re “nonetheless fairly good”, as Rob Armstrong explains in his excellent Unhedged (premium) e-newsletter.

Media is a theme for the run of outcomes this week, notably Disney. Since Bob Iger returned to the not so magic kingdom as chief government in November, much more issues have come to the floor. When the corporate experiences outcomes on Wednesday, traders will wish to hear Iger’s plan for bettering the efficiency of its vaunted film studios, which have delivered a number of field workplace disappointments not too long ago, together with its newest launch Haunted Mansion.

They may even wish to hear his ideas for coping with the decline of its TV property, together with sports activities community ESPN. Iger, who simply secured an extra two years as chief executive, is predicted to replace on the $5.5bn cost-cutting initiative he introduced shortly after his return to the corporate.

Traders — and Hollywood — may even be listening for his ideas on the labour strife that has introduced production to a standstill.

My week begins at London’s St Pancras station tomorrow morning as my spouse and I, and our three teenage boys, board the primary of a number of trains taking us throughout Europe to Athens. It is possible for you to to learn how this Grand Tour/Greek Tragedy unfolds as a result of the Monetary Occasions’ journey editor has commissioned me to put in writing about it after I return. Within the meantime, for the subsequent two weeks, you can be within the succesful palms of my colleague David Hindley.

Do please maintain writing in along with your feedback. E-mail me at jonathan.moules@ft.com or, if you’re studying this out of your inbox, hit reply.

Another factor . . . 

It’s a great week for area lovers. Thursday has been put aside by Virgin Galactic for its first private astronaut mission, having taken three members of the Italian Air Pressure and the Nationwide Analysis Council of Italy to the sting of area on its first launch in June. The actual query is whether or not sufficient of us now care sufficient about touching the sting of the ambiance to make space tourism pay?

Key financial and firm experiences

Here’s a extra full listing of what to anticipate when it comes to firm experiences and financial knowledge this week.

Monday

• Speech: Financial institution of England chief economist Huw Tablet responds in an online Q&A on the price of residing disaster and UK financial circumstances

• Dan Olley turns into chief government of Hargreaves Lansdown, succeeding Chris Hill, who steps down

• Germany: June industrial manufacturing figures

• UK: Halifax House Price Index

• Outcomes: Clarksons H1, PageGroup H1, Saudi Aramco H1, Toshiba Q1, Tyson Meals Q3

Tuesday

• China: July commerce steadiness figures

• Germany: ultimate July client value index (CPI) and harmonised index of client costs (HICP) inflation fee knowledge

• UK: BRC-KPMG Retail Gross sales Monitor

• Outcomes: Abrdn H1, Bayer Q2, Duke Power Q2, Eli Lilly Q2, Fox Corp This fall, Glencore H1, InterContinental Accommodations Group H1, IWG H1, Lyft Q2, The New York Occasions Firm Q2, SoftBank Q1, Take-Two Interactive Software program Q1, United Parcel Service Q2

Wednesday

• China: July CPI and producer value index (PPI) inflation fee knowledge

• Russia: July CPI inflation fee knowledge

• Outcomes: ABN Amro Q2, Ahold Delhaize Q2, Bellway buying and selling replace, Supply Hero Q2 buying and selling replace, Eon H1, Flutter Leisure H1, Generali H1, Hill & Smith H1, Hiscox H1, Honda Motor Q1, Sony Q1, TP ICAP H1, Tui Group Q3, Vestas Q2, Walt Disney Q3

Thursday

• Virgin Galactic launch window opens for Galactic 02, the corporate’s second industrial area flight, and the primary to take non-public astronauts

• Opec August Oil Market Report

• EU: European Central Financial institution Financial Bulletin

• India: Reserve Financial institution of India bimonthly financial coverage assertion

• UK: RICS home value steadiness figures

• US: July CPI inflation fee knowledge

• Outcomes: Alibaba Q1, Allianz Q2, Deliveroo H1, Eneos Holdings Q1, HelloFresh H1, Information Corp FY, Novo Nordisk Q2, Orsted H1, Persimmon H1, Petrofac H1, Rakuten H1, Ralph Lauren Q1, RWE H1, Siemens Q3, Thyssenkrupp Q3, Watches of Switzerland Q1 buying and selling replace, Zurich Insurance coverage H1

Friday

• France: ultimate July CPI and HICP inflation fee knowledge, plus Q2 unemployment fee

• Russia: preliminary Q2 GDP figures

• UK: preliminary Q2 GDP figures

• US: July producer value index (PPI) inflation fee knowledge

• Worldwide Power Company August Oil Market Report

World occasions

Lastly, here’s a rundown of different occasions and milestones this week.

Monday

• UK: members of the Aslef rail union resume industrial motion over pay at 15 prepare corporations with one other week-long time beyond regulation ban, ending on Saturday

• US: sentencing of former Minneapolis law enforcement officials Tou Thao, convicted of aiding and abetting unintentional second-degree homicide and aiding and abetting second-degree manslaughter in relation to the loss of life of George Floyd in police custody in Could 2020

Tuesday

• Brazil: president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will host a summit of Amazon nations, geared toward enabling his nation to take the lead in regional local weather politics and rein in rampant deforestation

• UK: Scottish college students obtain outcomes for his or her Nationwide 5, Greater and Superior Greater exams, broadly equal to the GCSEs and A-levels taken throughout the remainder of the nation

• US: Ohio voters will determine whether or not to boost the brink for poll initiatives to 60 per cent in a particular election that has huge implications for the way forward for abortion rights within the state given it’s the topic a referendum this November

Wednesday

• 78th anniversary of the US dropping a nuclear bomb on Nagasaki, killing greater than 74,000 individuals. Survivors and households of victims will attend a memorial service within the Japanese metropolis. In London, the Marketing campaign for Nuclear Disarmament will maintain a peace stroll to the Peace Pagoda in Battersea Park

Thursday

• UK: NHS England releases figures for June and July, together with quarterly ready time statistics for A&E attendances and emergency admissions, and cancelled operations

Friday

• UK: English Premier League will get below manner with a recreation between final season’s champions Manchester Metropolis and newly promoted Burnley

• UK: NHS junior medical doctors in England start one other four-day strike of their ongoing dispute over pay

Saturday

Sunday